Thought for the day

I notice that when our 20 month old son Russell plays with the little toy oven, he likes to take the animals from the Noah’s Arc toy and throw them in, like a good little omnivore. It makes my heart swell with pride to know that my son appreciates a good cut of meat cooked to perfection. Well, while I was cleaning out the toy oven today, I noticed that he tossed in Noah and his wife as well. Should I be worried?

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Android’s Achilles Heel

I’ve been a big fan of open source and the Linux platform since 1992 and was thrilled when Android initially launched leveraging the legacy of this platform. My family has Android phones and I acquired several Android tablets over the past few years, along with 3 iterations of the iPhone.

While we can get all our apps on both iOS and Android, I’m now convinced that my next tablet purchase should be an iPad. Initially, the variety of devices supporting Android was a huge plus for selection of an Android tablet. Now, however, this only serves to fragment the platform and highlight the contention between driving device sales and supporting end users for those vendors shipping Android tablets.

Because of the customizations against Android required to support customized hardware changes for each cellular provider – cell enabled products have a useful life of perhaps 18 months before the carriers stop issuing updates to focus on new products. This is the nature of the Android ecosystem where the carriers are responsible for software updates across a wide selection of hardware with varying design specifications. As a consequence, I have a Samsung Galaxy Tab 2 that is now stuck at Android 4.1 absent updates from T-Mobile which would likely have included performance and security fixes in later Android versions that would extend the useful life of the device by a year or two.

In contrast, Apple has pretty much nailed it. They do not allow the carriers to update iOS. This guarantees that Apple’s mobile platform will remain fresh, up-to-date, and secure as patches to the operating system and version updates are available and supported on older devices. The device support is much simpler and more reliable without involving the carriers. I have not had issues with updates on any of my iPhones having used an iPhone 4 for several years before rolling into an iPhone 5s and then upgrading to 6 just to get the NFC hardware support.

Considering the vastly improved design and hardware in tablets today, the expected lifetime for these devices should really be several years. It appears to me that Apple is the only real choice for enterprises providing tablets to their employees if the expected device lifespan is more than 2 years in light of the history around Android updates and the absence of any driving changes in the ecosystem around the Android OS updates with the cellular carriers.

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Doubling DVR Media Storage Efficiency

I’ve been wanting to kill our cable contract with Verizon for a while – now we’re getting a step closer.

I record TV shows from HD broadcast onto my computer so we can stream them out to apple and android devices as well as the TV in the living room via the attached media center. Our 3 terabyte disk is almost full – I don’t want to spend $200 to get another 2 3-TB disks (need to double up for RAID / backup) or reconfigure the media drives for more volume.

The DVR cards record in MPEG 2 video format with MP2 audio producing some pretty large files. I’ve cobbled together a little utility on Linux using ffmpeg to re-encode to h264 with aac audio – more compatible with apple devices and also 40-60% smaller files by using some logic I cooked in to figure the right bit rate based on the frame size and original quality level. It also removes the letterbox from the DVR produced files, further reducing the file sizes.

It’s going to take 3-4 days to go through the low resolution half of our 600 recordings, but after that, those files will play nicely on Chris’ iPad, my iPhone, and the other devices in the house. Of course, I don’t have to run each file – the utility finds all the video and re-encodes it without any help from me

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Should I Upgrade an iPhone 5s to an iPhone 6?

iPhone5sSo the iPhone 6 is in pre-order now and it’s got some pretty compelling new features – but is it worth upgrading my iPhone 5s? What do I get with an upgrade and does it matter that I’m on T-Mobile ?

iPhone6The big changes are the introduction of NFC to support Apple Pay, handling of more LTE frequencies, an improved CPU to bump up general processing speed and give a bigger lift to graphics processing, better photo capture, claims of marginally better battery life, and a larger screen. It seems like there is enough there to justify the upgrade – especially if T-Mobile is going to give me a $350 credit towards the iPhone 6 for trading in the 5s.

One factor causing some hesitation is the additional LTE bands supported by Apple primarily focus on bandwidth acquired by Sprint and do not address new bandwidth being allocated to T-Mobile that provide better service inside buildings or other structures that interfere with higher frequency signals. This also means that as T-Mobile grows, I’ll not be able to move to lesser used low frequency LTE bands with the new iPhone and will need to pick up the following generation when it becomes available if they add support for the new bands supported by T-Mobile.

Considering the higher probability that support should be forthcoming in the next generation iPhone, I am almost certain to want the upgrade when it becomes available. I can live without the lower frequency LTE support for now as T-Mobile also routes calls over the internet when I can connect my phone to a wireless network in my offices. This mitigates some of the challenges associated with the higher bandwidth frequencies losing strength going through walls in some buildings.

I’ve thought about adding an Apple Watch to add the NFC capability to support Apple Pay through the iPhone 5s by pairing the device – the thought has some appeal. I also get the added capability of tracking health related information and getting status at a glance absent having the iPhone immediately on hand. But there is an undefined timeline on availability on this which will be sometime early in 2015 according to Apple and the cost for the Apple Watch starts at $349 plus any additional for extras. If I was forced to choose between either an upgrade or a watch, I might consider waiting to make the choice until after the release and availability of the watch for hands on evaluation.

The cost to an iPhone 6 is $750 if I keep the 64GB limit of storage – or $400 considering a $350 trade-in on the iPhone 5s. This translates to an incremental $16.67 on my T-Mobile bill if I finance the $400 over 24 months at 0% interest through T-Mobile financing. I usually max out the phone features to make the phone last longer, but in this case 64GB has been more than enough with 20GB still available and I’m likely to trade the phone in again when new LTE frequencies are supported. I’m guessing it only needs to last me a year and maintain some trade-in value for the next upgrade – and if not I can likely stretch 64GB of storage to last me two years if I keep the bigger files on a cloud service.

With the OS being a non-factor (iOS 8 will be available for download to the iPhone 5s shortly) – are the new iPhone features compelling enough to upgrade the 5s ? With my only hesitation being the lack of frequency support in the lower bands used by T-Mobile, it appears as though an upgrade is likely worthwhile as there is no guaranty that frequency support is forth-coming in the next year. By limiting the storage at 64GB, I allow myself to bump up the storage later and will not be setting myself up for more hesitation if frequency support is in the next iPhone.

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Our GeoThermal Install Experience

We first considered GeoThermal a few years ago, but we decided to move forward when our 30 year old AC unit broke down last year and we were looking at a $6K expense to replace it we decided the expense would better defray the cost on a geothermal system install. Any major expense to repair a heating or cooling system can generally be applied to good effect to make the initial install more cost neutral – or even cash flow positive – and the long term benefit reduces out much of the cost of home heating and cooling. In our case, we also benefited from integrating the cooling into our existing duct system for heating which services our entire house – our old AC system only serviced half the house due to the separate duct placement covering only the top levels.

We contracted our installation though Sansoucy Geothermal of Paxton on the recommendation of a friend. We wanted better quality components so we could avoid most maintenance calls for the rest of our lives – they were like minded and recommending those as well so they were a very good fit for us. The gating factor to starting the work was the availability of the drillers to drill the 2 – 350 foot deep bores we required for our closed loop system. We also had extra work to remove some broken AC equipment and upgrade our electric service that increased our costs a little – our old fuse base panel with 100 AMP service was upgraded to a 200 AMP service with breakers to better support the system.

If you’re a Massachusetts resident, financing is best done by putting part of the project on your equity line and getting a $25,000 HEAT loan with a local qualifying lender at 0% with a 7 year repayment term for the rest – after qualifying through MassSave for the program.

The federal tax rebate of 30% for geothermal should almost pay off any equity borrowing if you can keep the install costs down to about $37k. The HEAT Loan will be payed off after 7 years of $300 interest free monthly payments. The savings in heating and cooling costs of 30-70% will cover the HEAT Loan payments if we anticipate averaging about $450 in monthly heating and cooling costs over the next 7 years absent any changes to our previous heating and cooling systems.

We researched MASSSave for other programs and rebates as well –

  • We qualified for the heat pump water heater rebate of $750
  • We were not able to verify qualification for the Early Furnace Replacement Rebate (an additional $750) prior to the installation. The Early Furnace Replacement rebate likely only applies to replacing an older furnace with a newer furnace, however it wouldn’t hurt to check into this if you have the time to validate the requirements.
  • We are still looking into the thermostat rebate for $100, but we believe our thermostat only qualifies for $25 under this program because our thermostat does not have wireless connectivity. Our installer did not save the UPC code from the thermostat packaging, so we applied absent the UPC code and may have that rebate refused.
  • We were hopeful to get a rebate on the GeoThermal unit itself, however many of the heating and cooling rebates were for ductless mini-split systems or air source heat pumps. We have applied for the rebate and are awaiting a response.

Our regrets? Our first – and hopefully only – regret was not cleaning the ducts first. The fan in the geothermal unit is much more powerful than the one in our old heating system. When it was fired up, a massive amount of soot that passed through the furnace was blown out of our ducts and into several rooms in the house. After the initial brief disappointment, we were quite happy knowing that there was no possibility of introducing soot into our home in the future.

The entire install included a new hot water heater that will reduce our electric bill by about $40 / month during the winter, which is maybe a third of what I anticipate as the cost of running the unit. During the summer months, the geothermal unit should be sufficient to heat all our hot water and hopefully reduce electric consumption for hot water heating by an additional $40 / month. We opted to spend a little more for the variable speed pump and companion control board to further reduce the electric usage of the unit.

Our first full month of operation from mid-August through mid-September shows a general electric consumption reduction of 10% compared to the same one month a year ago. Note that we did not have functioning air conditioning during that period last year. We originally had thought that we had an increase based on our electric bill, but we discovered that N-Star was estimating electric usage on a meter that was taken out of service when our fuse based system was upgraded to breakers as a part of this installation and consolidated down to a single meter.

We’ve been tracking electric usage since the installation, and our readings in mid-October and mid-November show roughly the same electric usage as our first reading despite the increasingly cold weather. Our electric bill for mid-November to mid-December increased by 87 kWH, but the colder mid-December to mid-January period, with some bitterly cold sub-zero weather, increased consumption by 290 kWH compared to the same period last year. Our next update will be in mid February to establish a definitive assessment on heating efficiency during peak heating season. I am anticipating a modest decrease from the January reading considering the abnormally cold weather this past month.

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Evaluating Home Heating Oil Services

We recently went through the experience of changing our home heating oil delivery service after 17 years with the same provider – it was an eye opening experience. As a consequence of this change we’ve come to the realization that we need to perform an annual review on all our service providers to ensure we are getting full value for the price paid on services provided. In this particular case performing an annual performance review would have saved us over $1800 in heating costs over the last 10 years.

There are a number of online resources available to help evaluate where your provider stands in terms of pricing, but the one I liked the most was Mass Energy Consumers Alliance historical pricing page. We were able to pull point pricing for any given week from this page for dates going back to July of 2005 and combine this with our purchase history as extracted from our financial files to build an analysis workbook Seasonal_Usage_and_Pricing_xlsx

In reviewing the average pricing versus the pricing we received from our oil supplier, we realized we were paying well above the average price for heating oil. On further investigation we found Massachusetts publishes a heating oil price range online – and our supplier had pricing correlating to the MOST expensive oil in the state. So we switched over to Devaney Energy, which has better pricing than the Mass Energy Consumers Alliance listed above and we now have some of the lowest priced oil in Massachusetts.

The analysis also provides some other pretty useful trending data over the years. When we purchased the house we were consuming about 740 gallons of oil per year and we completed our 2013 heating season with consumption of only 362 gallons – less than half the oil we were consuming on initial purchase for a annual savings of $1600! Of course, the replacement windows in 1999 with the insulated siding improved efficiency by maybe 5-10%, but re-insulating the lower attic in 2006 made the biggest difference reducing consumption by about 25-30%  while insulating the upper attic and walls in 2009 and closing the air gaps in 2012 seems to have reduced the remainder of our losses. Clearly the greatest return on investment was the insulation which cost us maybe $3500 in total.

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